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href="http://bbs.oecr.com/forum.php?mod=viewthread&tid=245674&extra=page%3D10&ordertype=1" class="show">倒序浏览</a> <span class="pipe show">|</span><a href="javascript:;" onclick="readmode($('thread_subject').innerHTML, 923583);" class="show">阅读模式</a> </div> </div> </div><div class="pct"><style type="text/css">.pcb{margin-right:0}</style><div class="pcb"> <div class="t_fsz"> <table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tr><td class="t_f" id="postmessage_923583"> 水晶光电（002273 )A股第一个打入Kinect供应链的公司》<br /> <br /> (1) Kinect将带动体感游戏机的风潮。微软2010年11月4日正式发售搭载Xbox游戏机的图朋ct体感控制器。图朋ct是人机界面新一代的革命性<a href="http://b.oecr.com/sell" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">产品</a>,可让游戏玩家以身体手势以及声音操控游戏。预估2011年在既有Xbox用户及新用户的加入下,销售量有望达到2750万台。Kinect全新的使用者体验可望引爆新的体感控制的风潮。<br /> <br /> (2) 水晶光电是A股第一个打入Kinect供应链的公司。公司的窄带滤光片已经切入微软图朋ct供应链。图朋ct控制器上有两个关键的摄像头:测纵深的IR镜头与测影像RGB镜头;水晶光电是IR镜头中窄带滤光片的供货商。由于该产品对于<a href="http://opticalfilm.oecr.com" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">镀膜</a>的要求极高,生产的良品率难度较大,目前仅有美国JDSU以及水晶光电两家供货商。<br /> <br /> (3) 蓝宝石衬底是另一个高增长动力。公司利用现有光学冷<a href="http://optics.oecr.com" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">加工</a>处理(切片、磨片、抛光)的制优势切入蓝宝石衬底业务。经过一年以上的试产,已经充分掌握制程<a href="http://optics.oecr.com" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">工艺</a>。由于国内MOCVD机台大幅扩产,预计2011年国内蓝宝石衬底市场仍将呈现供不应求。看好公司年产360万片的扩产项目,可望填补国内供给的空白。预估2011年下半年将有120万片的年产能投放,收入贡献可望达到9600万元。<br /> <br /> (4) 传统产品保短期业绩，新兴产品将爆发性增长。公司的红外截止滤光片等传统产品增长强劲，下游客户大立光和玉晶光等公司受益于手机市场的高增长，今年收入增长都有望在50%以上。3G 手机出货量有望在未来三年保持25%以上的增长，配置双镜头的3G 手机也越来越多。双镜头也成为<a href="http://display.oecr.com" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">平板</a>电脑的标准配置，今年也将对红外截止滤光片产生近亿片的需求。单反单电相机市场的年增长在15%以上，此外，公司也在逐步抢占日本公司的市场份额。下半年对一些主要日本客户的出货量将有望成倍上升。<br /> <br /> (5) 公司的新业务蓝宝石衬底进展顺利，已初步形成批量生产规模，并将在下半年进一步释放产能，高端的图形化衬底PSS 的研发也取得进展。公司是微软的Kinect 窄带滤光片的两大供应商之一，并有望逐步获得更高的市场份额。微投是公司未来爆发性高增长的又一亮点。只要成本、亮度和功耗等指标在未来两年得到进一步完善，微投市场将有望成为迎来爆发性的增长。<br /> 预期公司11-13年EPS 为1.32/2.23/3.33元。继续盘上，逢低买入。</td></tr></table> </div> <div id="comment_923583" class="cm"> </div> <div id="post_rate_div_923583"></div> 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