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class="pipe show">|</span><a href="javascript:;" onclick="readmode($('thread_subject').innerHTML, 640737);" class="show">阅读模式</a> </div> </div> </div><div class="pct"><style type="text/css">.pcb{margin-right:0}</style><div class="pcb"> <div class="t_fsz"> <table cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0"><tr><td class="t_f" id="postmessage_640737"> 市調機構預測HB-LED高增長 促使MOCVD的年產量翻番 20100308<br /> <br /> 3月6日消息,市場研究公司The Information Network在去年發表的報告“固態<a href="http://light.oecr.com" target="_blank" class="relatedlink">照明</a>革命：市場分析和深度觀察生產成本的削減”中指出,2009至2012年期間,高亮度LED(HB-LED)市場出貨量有望翻番。該公司總裁Robert CastELlano博士表示,HB-LED的應用範圍在擴展,如筆記本電腦的背光、汽車頭燈,LED市場在快速增長,這也促使LED製造商投以鉅資。 LED為傳統的半導體工藝設備供應商創造了一個細分市場,尤其是為MOCVD設備供應商提供了盈利的機會。 <br /> <br /> 美國MOCVD反應設備製造商Veeco公司表示,來自六家賣方公司的分析師達成了一致意見。他們預測,全球MOCVD的年產量將從2009年的208套增長至2011年的415套。<br /> <br /> Information Network在報告中預測：2009年每套MOCVD平均年產量是3000萬個LED,以同樣的產量計算,除非MOCVD設備供應商增加產量或提高成品率以降低擁有成本,到2011年LED產量累加起來會缺少1550萬個。美國DOE的固態照明製造路線圖將目標定為：每五年製造設備的擁有成本增加兩倍。這家調研公司聲稱,假如供應商能成功地改善生產時間、一致性及可重複性、溫度控制能力以及流動幾何特徵,便能減緩上述產量上的虧空。<br /> <br /> Castellano補充道,很明顯MOCVD供應商的興趣不在此,提高擁有成本會降低銷售額；但是在資本市場,競爭從來就是關鍵的促成要素,它會迫使這些供應商去提高設備的競爭力。<br /> <br /> 與2.5億美元的半導體市場相比,HB-LED的市場規模已達50億美元。上面言及的415套MOCVD設備,以每套250萬美元計算,它代表著一個超過 10億美元的市場。因此對於一個封裝型LED來說MOCVD占了8%的成本。其他前端設備僅占了3%,也就是說相當於一個5億美元的光刻和測量設備市場。此外,由後端工藝組成的最大部分占了65%,包括襯底去除、晶片劃切和封裝。<br /> <br /> Information Network指出,背光將成為HB-LED市場成長的部分,在2007-2012年間,受LCD TV(CAGR=300.3%)的影響,HB-LED的CAGR值將超過40%。<br /> <br /> 最近另一家市場調研公司IMS Research出臺了一份定位于白光及紅光LED的市場調研報告,報告指出到去年年底全球75家LED製造商共擁有1413套沉積設備,LED產量達到每年1880億。<br /> <br /> 報告中預計,2010年MOCVD反應設備的銷量將會達到348個。儘管如此,IMS指出其潛在市場總計588套,因此仍有195-240套設備的空間盈餘,由此計算出今年LED晶片市場會出現120-140億顆的短缺,這種狀態會持續到2013年。市場調研公司的結論是,潛在的供應短缺會給設備供應商和 LED製造商帶來壓力並迫使它們提高產量,提高設備性能並加快設備的生產。<br /> <br /> 該公司高級顧問和OLED協會常務董事Barry Young表示,“2010年HB 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